Course details

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Probabilistic approach to damage stability

Teaching: Completely taught in English
ECTS: 4
Level: Graduate
Semester: Winter or Summer
Prerequisites:
Completed undergraduate degree in Naval Architecture.
Load:
Lectures Exercises Laboratory exercises Project laboratory Physical education excercises Field exercises Seminar Design exercises Practicum
30 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
Course objectives:
The course gives a general description of the development of ship damage stability standards, taking especially in consideration relevant accidents and the identification of weak points in the deterministic standards. A comprehensive description of the theoretical foundations of the probabilistic method, in general, will then be provided. This will be followed by an overview of the existing regulations (Resolution. A.265[VIII], MSC.19(58)) based on the probabilistic method, with special emphasis on the differences between different regulations. The new harmonized probabilistic regulations will also be reviewed. These methods will be applied through case studies, aiming to highlight some common difficulties found in its application. Hydrodynamic part of the course will be devoted to wave-induced loads on damaged ships with particular emphasize on differences between wave loads on intact and damaged ships. This course requires the students to have familiarity with undergraduate mathematics and statistics Exercises will be mainly carried out in a computerized classroom. To perform the exercises there is an academic network license application (GHS) General Hydrostatics System in which the problems of the damaged ship stability for different types of ships and damage are modeled.
Student responsibilities:
Grading and evaluation of student work over the course of instruction and at a final exam:
Total course mark percentage summary: Ship outfit individual assignments 1, 2 & 3/seminar work 40% of mark Colloquium 1, 2 i 3 ( or written exam) 30% of mark Oral exam 30% of mark Total 100% Course grading for the final mark 50% - 60% 2 (satisfactory) 61% - 75% 3 (good) 76% - 90% 4 (very good 91% - 100% 5 (excellent)
Methods of monitoring quality that ensure acquisition of exit competences:
Students individually work on practical assignments, ship design project and make necessary reports. Assignment results are commented with the students. By interaction with the students during lectures, by asking questions, the continuity of the comprehension of teaching content is checked and so as acquisition of competencies and skills in accordance with the learning outcomes.
Upon successful completion of the course, students will be able to (learning outcomes):
After successful attendance of this course the student will be able to: - Connect the spatial representations of the ship with the features of cargo. - Identify damaged conditions (progressive, intermediate and transient) - Create a ship form in the associated tool - Establish tanks and ship divisions in the associated tool. - Calculate using the probability method the subdivision index. - Propose a new subdivision of compartments by optimizing the subdivision with respect to the subdivision index - Develop the ability of synthesis of the project in relation to the ship"s damage stability taking into account the different types of ships.
Lectures
1. Introduction to subdivision and damage stability.
2. Re-view of existing standards: SOLAS90, Stockholm Agreement.
3. Progressive flooding, intermediate stages of flooding and transient phenomena.
4. Structural loads during progressive flooding.
5. Methodology for calculating the probability of flooding in case of combined transverse and longitudinal subdivision: "p", "r" and "v" factor.
6. Methodologies for calculating the probability of survival after flooding: "s" factor and the required subdivision index.
7. Probabilistic regulations for subdivision and damage stability: IMO resolutions A.265 and MSC.19(58)
8. Application to calculations for simplified and non-simplified geometries.
9. Harmonized subdivision and damage stability regulations: resolution MSC.194(80)
10. Explanatory notes to the harmonized subdivision and damage stability regulations.
11. Optimization of ship subdivision using the probabilistic method.
12. Application to the optimization of conventional passenger ro-ro ship subdivision and fast ferry subdivision.
13. Method for ranking damage conditions according with probability of survival.
14. Application to the identification of critical passenger ro-ro ship damage conditions.
15. Ship Behaviour after the Damage and Structural Resistance
Exercises
1. Examples of the watertight subdivision.
2. Water on deck criteria calculation according to Stockholm Agreement.
3. Examples of the types of flooding.
4. Case study: Global loads due to progressive flooding.
5. I colloquium
6. Introduction to GHS (general Hydrostatics System) modelling. Setting the seminar work.
7. Examples of GHS command and output files.
8. Calculation of attained index.
9. Case studies: Applications of MSC.194(80) to different ship types.
10. II colloquium
11. Example of the common design variables and constraints.
12. Case studies: Optimization of fast ferry and the conventional ro-pax subdivision.
13. Case study: Survivability evaluation of ro-pax.
14. Presentation of the seminar work
15. III colloquium
Compulsory literature:
International Convention for the Safety of Life at Sea (SOLAS), 2009 Consolidated Ed.
Santos T.A. & Guedes Soares, C. Probabilistic approach to damage stability. in: Advanced Ship Design for Pollution Prevention, ed. Guedes Soares & Parunov, Taylor & Francis Group, London, UK, 2010. p.227-242.
"Contemporary Ideas on Ship Stability", Elsevier, ISBN 0 08 043652 8, December 2000, 597pp., edited by D. Vassalos, M. Hamamoto, A. Papanikolaou and D. Molyneux.
Recommended literature:
Slapničar, V., Ukas, B., Aircraft Carrier Stability in Damaged Condition, Advanced Ship Design for Pollution Prevention, ed. Guedes Soares & Parunov, Taylor & Francis Group, London, UK, 2010. p.243-252.
Munić, I., Slapničar, V. Stupalo, V., The effect of L/B and B/T variation on subdivision indexes, Advanced Ship Design for Pollution Prevention, ed. Guedes Soares & Parunov, Taylor & Francis Group, London, UK, 2010. p.253-258.

Faculty of Mechanical Engineering
and Naval Architecture
Ivana Lučića 5
10002 Zagreb, p.p. 102
Croatia
MB 3276546
OIB 22910368449
PIC 996827485
IBAN HR4723600001101346933
tel: +385 1 6168 222
fax: +385 1 6156 940
University of Zagreb
Ministry of Science and Education